Strategic decisions are never simple. Despite the significant resources investment managers devote to the decision process, they often make judgments that go wrong because of human shortcomings.
Residual value forecasting for transportation equipment often begins with an expected value curve that traces ‘value decay’ over an asset’s assumed useful life.
“A new decade stretches before us.” Crosscurrents from the past decade have swept the unprepared away, so a review of the past decade’s challenges will help instruct future investment. Optimizing investment management will always require a deep understanding of markets, end-user needs, current fleet dynamics, and equipment designs. Boeing’s 737MAX, the Class One’s singular focus […]
Parsing 2020: restated, third-quarter real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.1%. As well, consensus economic forecasts predict growth at a moderate pace. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, is expected to edge up. And unemployment is anticipated to remain below 4%. The business fixed investment will continue to slow due to […]
With more volatility likely, what’s the maximum level of risk you are willing to take in next year’s markets? The answer requires knowledge of the impact changing traffic levels will have on the values of specific equipment types and portfolio credits. Values that will be driven by the economic, financial, and political environment over the […]
Weak international trade is hurting international airfreight. Global airfreight volume has fallen for 10 consecutive months year over year (the longest losing streak since 2008). In the three months ended August, North American airlines’ U.S. dollar revenue from air-cargo between China and the U.S. fell 26% relative to the same period in 2018. While transportation […]
Article 1, Section 10, of the U.S. Constitution (the “Contract Clause”) contains a list of prohibitions concerning the role of the States in political, monetary, and economic affairs [1]. The laws of some countries require damages that may be recovered for breach of contract or other obligations be limited to the level of damage or […]
“Economic Nationalism” The President’s September 24th address to the United Nations promoted ‘sovereignty’ above international relations. “The future belongs to sovereign and independent nations, who protect their citizens, respect their neighbors and honor the differences that make each country special and unique.” His favorite themes? Unfair trade, imbalanced defense spending, illegal immigration, creeping socialism, and […]
A new leasing standard The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued its new leasing standard, Accounting Standards Update (ASU) No. 2016-02, Leases (ASC 842), in February 2016. It’s bringing $2 trillion of operating leases onto public company balance sheets, affecting the entities that enter into lease arrangements or sign contracts containing service agreements that support […]
Mounting Trade Concerns Slow Supply Chains Brace for slower economic growth. Freight volumes in the United States and around the World are falling due to escalating trade tensions and an uncertain future. Most recessions have been brought on by mistakes in some combination of fiscal, monetary or financial supervision. Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke once […]
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Adapt to an Improved Aero & Rail Investment OutlookAugust 4, 2025 - 7:21 pmThrough the first 29 weeks of this year (ended July 20), the Association of American Railroads reported North American rail volume up 2.3%. United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby reports passenger demand is picking up: “The world is less uncertain today than it was during the first six months of 2025 and that gives us confidence.”[1] […]
Rail Uptick Defies Slowing GDP, While Aero OutperformsJuly 1, 2025 - 9:30 pmRail Uptick Defies Slowing GDP, While Aero Outperforms
Tariffs and Trade Shift MarketsJune 6, 2025 - 9:29 pmTariffs and trade shifts are affecting markets. Learn how aero and rail have reacted to these tumultuous times. Call RESIDCO.