Entries by residco

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Precision Scheduled Railroading (“PSR”) – A Freight Transportation Disruptor

Precision Scheduled Railroading’s Various Effects The S&P 500 posted its best first half in 22 years.  US Job openings outnumber the unemployed by widest gap ever.  The U.S. economy continues to expand (2.1% in the Second Quarter).  Yet U.S. Domestic rail freight volumes are down.  Chinese challenges to the Western Global Trading System certainly are […]

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Growth Impediments Top Mid-Year Market Concerns

Signs are evident in politics and trade negotiations that economic and geopolitical rivalries are creating global uncertainties.  Avoiding turbulent weather is a combination of art and science. With cues from weather charts, radar returns, and real time reports from other aircraft, Pilots are trained to avoid thunderstorms and slow to ‘turbulence penetration speed’ to avoid […]

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Creating Air and Rail Portfolio Alpha

In an environment where uncertainty is commonplace, investment in transportation equipment is often driven by residual value estimates as lenders and lessors compete for market share. Many factors influence the future value of equipment. Most are not very predictable. All require an active aftermarket for the asset under consideration. Physical factors include wear and tear […]

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China Trade Conflict – A New Normal

The Chinese government has deployed strategies that help its state owned companies acquire state-of-the-art technologies in order to break into global markets. By leveraging the country’s low labor cost China exports more than $2 Trillion of goods a year (in 2018 the U.S. imported over $419 billion more goods from China than it exported to […]

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Transportation Infrastructure Demands Smart Investment Management

Transportation equipment investment serves as an engine for economic development and job creation.  It enables people and goods to access markets and services more efficiently and ‘induces’ demand growth.  Available, reliable, and competitively priced alternatives allow business and consumers to shift their focus to business development and new consumption.  Infrastructure investment works in a similar […]

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Economic Uncertainties?

Total carloads were down 8.9% in March while carloads for the first quarter were down 3.1%.  Year-to-date coal is down 8.1%, grain down 5.2%, chemicals down 1.2%, and intermodal down 1.8%.  Excluding coal and grain U.S. carloads were down 2.8% in March 2019 (from March 2018). The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported 12.9 gigawatts […]

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MAX8 Tragedies Implicate Flight Controls

The 737MAX 8 was developed from the 737NG and certified by the FAA on March 8, 2017.  The aircraft is powered by CFM LEAP-1B engines which are 12% more fuel efficient than the CFM56-7B engines used on the 737NG.  The airframe has a length of 129 ft. 6 in. (39.47m), a wingspan of 117 ft. […]

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A Platform For Sustainable Investment

Until Hunter Harrison, there was a lack of focus on how efficiently rail assets could be employed. Customers demanded service and the railroads invested. More equipment was better. The result was a consistent inability of the roads to cover their cost of capital. Herb Kelleher founded Southwest Airlines as a low cost no-frills regional. It […]

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Value Investing in a Turbulent Market

“The Chinese use two brush strokes to write the word ‘crisis.’  One brush stroke stands for danger, the other for opportunity. In a crisis be aware of the danger but recognize the opportunity.” – John F. Kennedy 2019 will create opportunities for those who are prepared.  The reasons? Politics, the continued strength of the U.S. economy, […]

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Navigating Transportation Investment

Factors to Consider for Transportation Investment Transportation asset finance is a growth business.  Both the Aviation and Rail markets are healthy and long term investment trends remain favorable.  With recent market volatility comes higher ranges of uncertainty. While investment risk may or may not increase over time, uncertainty grows at the square root of time. […]