Entries by residco

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2018: There is Room for Growth

Investing In Transportation Transportation equipment investment is a long-term affair. It’s a complex business since investment risk and profit profiles change over an investment’s duration. At the macroeconomic level, the stage of the business cycle affects the value of everything, including leased air and rail equipment. When the economy is in recession, fewer people are […]

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Major Tax and Reporting Changes Greet 2018

Changes In U.S. Law And Economy The U.S. Economy has sustained 3% growth for two consecutive quarters. Prospects for continued growth in 2018 are strong, and there is likely to be an extra boost if tax reform is passed by Congress. Rising household wealth and job gains suggest the Federal Reserve will raise rates in […]

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Finding Value in Disruption: Hurricanes and Carloads, and CSX’s Plan for the Future

The Impact of Natural Disasters On the Gulf Coast, Hurricane Harvey forced the shutdown of refineries and disrupted the production of plastic resins and refined oil products. The Union Pacific and Burlington Northern have lifted embargos for shipments to, from, or passing through the Gulf region. They continue to evaluate affected areas as repairs complete […]

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Aviation Energy Economics Reshape Flight

Air carriers invest to improve profitability and expand share in the markets they choose to serve.  Selecting the right aircraft and engines are vitally important to financial success.  The process requires input from marketing, maintenance, engineering, finance, and the flight operations teams.  There are numerous factors to consider, beginning with the composition of the carrier’s […]

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Economies of Energy Stabilize Coal by Rail

U.S. domestic coal production peaked in 2008.  The decline that followed was driven first by the politics of climate change and then by the shale gas revolution.  Our coal production takes place in three major coal-producing areas, ‘Appalachia’, the ‘Interior’ (Illinois, Indiana), and the Powder River Basin’s ‘Western Coal[1]’.  Substantially all moves by rail.  With […]

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Transportation Investing in a Turbulent World

The Importance of Infrastructure Infrastructure is one of the main factors of economic growth. This includes power, water, telecommunications, ports, roads, and rail. In a report by McKinsey Global Institute, the projected requirement for infrastructure investment is estimated to reach $57 trillion dollars from 2013-2030. This is to keep up with global GDP growth targets. […]

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Has Traffic Bottomed?

The first half of 2016 has seen its share of volatility. Globalization, central bank actions, the impact of the internet (speeding the flow of information and creating social networks), Presidential election politics, acts of global terror, and Brexit are all phenomena that have contributed. Historically, markets have not been as volatile. Declining rail freight volumes […]

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Confident About Growth

Aviation investment is driven by profitability and the prospect for future growth. Recent mergers have resulted in the number of major carriers in the U.S. decreasing from 10 to 4[1]. This consolidation has created an oligopoly and helped the remaining players[2] take a more balanced approach to capacity management. They now control 80% of the […]

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Transportation Asset Values and Tax Policy

Government taxes to encourage (or discourage) a variety of economic activities. The rates set influence the market’s required before-tax rates of return for both individual and business investments. From a social standpoint, taxes are designed to finance public projects, redistribute wealth, and provide basic services. Since self-interest is basic to human nature this creates private […]

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The Big Picture

The most important decision an investor makes is the composition of his or her investment portfolio. That is what ultimately acts to determine the level and potential variability of returns. Research shows dissimilar asset classes act to increase returns while reducing risk. From an investment perspective, an aircraft or railcar under lease represents a stable […]